Fibre and the cloud in a post PC era

It may be nice to get FttH but then the question is now what do I do as of now not a lot really HD video is nice but what is new about that. Well here is the thing people don’t really get the full potential of cloud computing being able to access files is nice but it still requires a large powerful PC or other device in your home. The real innovation that cloud computing will bring is the question of why do I have this big box that sits idle most of the time or uses a small amount of its potential, is this really necessary?

The answer with FttH is NO all you really need is a box capable of piping a stream of appropriate resolution to you display or your TV and farm off the processing to a computer farm running virtual machines. Not only is this good for the consumer (Reduced electricity bills) but it is good overall, the efficiency of a computer farm would be much better than many stand alone PC’s. Another advantage is at peak times the many users will use all the computing power but in off peak times this excess computing power could be sold to scientific institutions for research purposes as it is essentially a super computer this would reduce barriers to access to supercomputers and allow for breakthroughs in research.

There is no limit to the possibilities of cloud computing in this sense any service could be provided TV, Games and Rendering Software through to Facebook and Word Processing. Ubiquitous access wherever you are to your applications, services and things we can’t even think of yet.

Riding on the back of Fast Ubiquitous broadband for all!

-AJ

Was written on lunch break will edit it properly later or you can comment errors below.

The real cost of FttN for a Coalition Government.

The Coalition have consistently called the National Broadband Network far to expensive and a white elephant while their plan still has no price tag. The biggest problem with the Coalitions plan is that while construction costs may be 1/4 this does not include the cost of the copper last mile Telstra have stated that the cost of buying this will be in the range of $20 Billion [1]. So even at 1/4 the cost of construction we end up with close to $27 Billion for a network that will last less than an equivilant FttH network.

This is not the only economically poor move with FttN the other big problem is that while FttH is the pinnacle of speed for fixed line internet FttN is not. This leaves a government owned FttN network in a tight place you can’t stop people from buying FttH if it is available and if you give your biggest potential competitor $20 Billion what do you think will they do. Well here is an idea they will spend it on FttH in your most profitable areas and overbuild your network. Telstra have done this in the past [2] when HFC was being rolled out Telstra overbuilt Optus simply because they could this caused inflated prices on cable networks due to reduced economies of scale.

Now you may think that this is not a problem but the problem lies in the $27 billion that the Coalition will have to borrow to build their FttN dream. While the current NBN is FttH borrows $37 Billion $10 Billion more the ability to recoup these cost will be greatly hindered in a FttN world. This hindrance could be so large as to derail FttN profits and force the Coalitions NBN on budget causing a massive blowout of the budget deficit.

In my opinion this is not the act of a economically responsible opposition forcing billions of dollars on budget will significantly hinder their ability to provide the surplus that they want to deliver. They will also provide a significantly inferior broadband network at an increased or similar cost to the fibre NBN.

– AJ

[1] $20b feud with Telstra drove NBN’s birth

[2] Telstra’s Overbuild of the Optus HFC Network

Hello out there

Time for my first post on my first blog ever!

Well the Australian election is coming up and I have been getting sick and tired of the Coalition getting a free ride on their policies related to technology in this country. Don’t get me wrong Labor have had some bad policies in this area the internet filter for one but it has been discussed in the media truthfully and honestly the NBN on the other hand has only been portrayed in a negative light due to current vested interests like News Limited’s ownership of many companies that are set to lose big time by ubiquitous fast and affordable internet in this country.

So a bit about me before I jump off into the wild and murky world that is Australian politics.

My background is Science BSc Chemistry (Honours) and I have now shifted into Laboratory IT Software. I have always been excited about technology and the possibilities of technology in the future I wan’t this blog to be about not just the NBN but about ideas on the future and how technology like the NBN will change our world.

-AJ